The Houston Texans look to bounce back after a tough loss to the colts. They currently have won 9 of their last 10 games and won their last4 away games. When looking at the Houston defense this year; they are allowing almost 20 points, and 350 yards per game this season. J.J. Watt has come up huge for the Texans with a total of 12.5 sacks up to this point. When looking at the Jets defensive stats, they allow about 25 points, and 375 yards per game this season. The jets have some weapons on defense though including AveryWilliamson who has already racked up 103 tackles this season, and Trumaine Johnson who has 4 Interceptions. When looking at the offenses, Houston and DeshaunWatson have been on a roll. Watson completing 67% of his passes for 3,300 yards and 22 touchdowns. Watson has had two or more touchdown passes in 11 of his last 18 games. The Jets have lost 6 of their last 7 games and lost 3 straight home games. McCown completing 54% of his passes for 539 yards and 1 touchdown.Not to mention he has already thrown 4 interceptions. McCown and Darnold have combined for 13 touchdown passes and 19 interceptions. Yes, I said 19interceptions this season.
Now let’s look at how each team matches up against the spread (New York Jets +7), the Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs anAFC opponent and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. The jets are 4-1 ATS in their last5 games in December, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over (44.0)is 7-3 in the Jets last 10 games but the under is 13-6 in Texans last 19 games overall. To me this is an easy pick against a shitty Jets team that has nothing to play for but spoil other team’s seasons. The line sitting up at -7 is a little bit intimidating but Houston is by far the better team in this match up with the Jets offense looking horrendous getting held to 17 or less points in 5of their last 7 games.
My play is Texans -7 (-110) and I’m also buying a half point and taking Texans -6.5. Texans should beat the shit out of the Jets by double digits.